Skip to main content

Posts

Butterfly Options: More Examples + How to Actually Trade One

 This is a follow-up to the butterfly basics — more worked examples covering the common variations, plus a practical walkthrough of how traders actually build and manage these trades. Part 1: More Examples Example A: The Classic Symmetric Call Butterfly Setup: Stock XYZ trades at $100. You think it'll stay close to $100 through expiration. Buy 1 call at $95 strike for $7.00 Sell 2 calls at $100 strike for $4.00 each ($8.00 total collected) Buy 1 call at $105 strike for $2.00 Net cost: $7.00 − $8.00 + $2.00 = $1.00 debit (this is your max loss, per share — $100 for one full spread) Stock at expiration What happens Result $90 All calls worthless Lose $1.00 (full premium) $95 All calls worthless Lose $1.00 $100 $95 call worth $5, others worthless Profit: $5 − $1 = $4.00 (max profit) $105 $95 call worth $10, two $100 calls cost $10 to close, $105 call worthless Back near breakeven $110 Everything cancels out Lose $1.00 (full premium) S...

Using the Rule of 16 on Real Market Data: A Worked Example Guide

  The Rule of 16 is only useful once you apply it to actual numbers. Below, we take a real-style options screener — showing stock price, Implied Volatility (IV30), IV Rank, and upcoming earnings dates — and walk through what each entry tells an options trader. Quick refresher on the formula: Expected Daily Move (%) = Current IV30 ÷ 16 Expected Daily Dollar Move = Stock Price × Expected Daily Move (%) This represents a "one standard deviation" move — the stock is expected to stay inside that range about 68% of the time. Sample 1: Elastic N.V. (ESTC) — Earnings Just Around the Corner Stock Price: $99.91 Current IV30: 49.1% Earnings: 27-Aug-2026 (AMC) Step 1: 49.1 ÷ 16 = 3.07% expected daily move Step 2: $99.91 × 3.07% ≈ $3.07 Expected range: roughly $96.84 to $102.98 on a typical day. ESTC's IV30 % Rank sits at 27%, meaning current volatility, while elevated in absolute terms, is only moderate relative to its own year of history. Still, with earnings just days ...

The Straddle Strategy: A Beginner's Guide, With Examples

  A straddle is one of the simplest ways to trade options when you have a strong hunch that a stock is about to move — but no idea which direction. Instead of guessing up or down, you bet on movement itself . This article breaks down how it works, walks through several real-style examples, and covers the risks so you're not caught off guard. 1. The Mechanics (Quick Refresher) A long straddle means buying: 1 call option (profits if the stock rises) 1 put option (profits if the stock falls) Same stock, same strike price, same expiration date Your total cost (the "premium" for both options combined) is your maximum possible loss . Your profit potential is theoretically unlimited on the upside, and very large on the downside (since a stock can only fall to $0). Breakeven points: Upper breakeven = strike price + total premium paid Lower breakeven = strike price − total premium paid The stock has to move past one of these two points by expiration for you to turn a pr...